At the beginning of the year (2022), you had a portfolio made up of the following: 500 shares of Firm X
200 shares of Firm Y
30 bonds of Firm Z
For the most recently completed year (2021), Stock X paid an annual dividend of $.87 per share. Stock Y paid an annual dividend of $4.09. You expect growth of 5% each year forever for Stock X and estimate a "k" of 10%. You expect growth of 12% for Stock Y, but for only the next three years before then having a rate of 2% forever thereafter. The "k" for stock Y is 11%.
Firm Z pays a coupon rate of 6.45% on a face value of $1,000. At the beginning of the year, the bonds were yielding (YTM) 5.6% and had 15 years left until maturity. The bonds pay semi-annual coupons. (15 pts)
At the beginning of the year, what value would you assign to your overall portfolio? (15 pts)
The first quarter of 2022 was a horrible one for both bond and stock markets – which made you adjust many of your estimates. Specifically:
You now only expect growth of 4% forever for Stock X but feel the "k" can remain at 10%.
You know only expect growth of 10% for the next three years on Stock Y, followed by the same rate of 2% forever after. You think the "k" for this one needs to increase to 12%.
The YTM on Bonds Z have increased to 6.1%. The time to maturity is now naturally 14.75 years.
Given this – and assuming (HUGE assumption) that the assets are priced based upon the fundamental models, how much less is your portfolio worth now compared to the beginning of the quarter?