It is estimated that company's dividend will grow at a rate of 20% per year for the next three years, and the the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 4% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.5, the risk-free rate is 6%, and the market return is 12.50%. What is your estimate of the company's stock price at the end of year 3

Respuesta :

Answer:

The stock value will be 15.29 times the value of the stock today

if the stock is 10 it will be 152.9

If the stock price is 15 it will be

15 x 15.29 = 229.35

And so on

Explanation:

We are not given a dividend amount ,but we can solve for the times it will multiply the stock price.

First, using CAPM we can determinate the cost of equity

[tex]Ke= r_f + \beta (r_m-r_f)[/tex]  

risk free         0.060

market rate 0. 125

premium market = (market rate - risk free) = 0.065

beta(non diversifiable risk) 1.5

 

[tex]Ke= 0.06 + 1.5 (0.065)[/tex]  

Ke 0.15750

Now with this formula we calculate the value of the stock on year 3

using the gordon model

[tex]\frac{divends{1}}{return-growth} = Intrinsic \: Value[/tex]

We need to solve for dividends at the end of the year 3

[tex]Dividends \times (1+g)^{3}[/tex]

1.728

this is the dividends at end of year 3 (t = 0) for the gordon model we need the dividend of next year (t = 1) so we multiply by the grow rate of the fourth year

Dividends at t=1  = 1.728 x 1.04 = 1.79712‬

Now we use the gordon model to determinate the stock value

[tex]\frac{divends{1}}{return-growth} = Intrinsic \: Value[/tex]

grow after year 3 will be 4%

return 15.75%

Dividends 1.79712

[tex]\frac{1.79712‬}{0.1575-0.04} = Intrinsic \: Value[/tex]

Stock value = 15,294638297872 = 15.29

The stock value will be 15.29 times the value today