The College Board reported the following mean scores for the three parts of the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) (The World Almanac, 2009): Critical Reading 502 Mathematics 515 Writing 494Assume that the population standard deviation on each part of the test is = 100.a. What is the probability a sample of 90 test takers will provide a sample mean test score within 10 points of the population mean of 502 on the Critical Reading part of the test (to 4 decimals)?b. What is the probability a sample of 90 test takers will provide a sample mean test score within 10 points of the population mean of 515 on the Mathematics part of the test (to 4 decimals)?c. What is the probability a sample of 100 test takers will provide a sample mean test score within 10 of the population mean of 494 on the writing part of the test (to 4 decimals)?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) [tex] P(492<X<512) = P(\frac{492-502}{10.54} <Z<\frac{512-502}{10.54}) = P(-0.949 < Z< 0.949)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-0.949 < Z< 0.949)= P(Z<0.949) -P(Z<-0.949) =0.8287-0.1713=0.6574 [/tex]

b) [tex] P(505<X<525) = P(\frac{505-515}{10.54} <Z<\frac{525-505}{10.54}) = P(-0.949 < Z< 1.898)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-0.949 < Z< 1.898)= P(Z<1.898) -P(Z<-0.949) =0.9712-0.1713=0.7998 [/tex]

c) [tex] P(484<X<504) = P(\frac{484-494}{10} <Z<\frac{504-494}{10}) = P(-1 < Z< 1)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-1 < Z< 1)= P(Z<1) -P(Z<-1) =0.8413-0.1587=0.6827 [/tex]

Explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Part a

Let X the random variable that represent the scores for critical reading of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(502,100)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=502[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=100[/tex]

We select a sample of size n=90, since the distribution for X is normal then the distribution for the sample size is also normal

[tex]\bar X \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{100}{\sqrt{90}}=10.54)[/tex]

And for this case we want this probability:

[tex] P(502-10 < \bar X < 502+10)[/tex]

And for this case we can use the z score given by:

[tex] z= \frac{\bar X -\mu}{\sigma_{\bar x}}[/tex]

And if we use this formula we got:

[tex] P(492<X<512) = P(\frac{492-502}{10.54} <Z<\frac{512-502}{10.54}) = P(-0.949 < Z< 0.949)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-0.949 < Z< 0.949)= P(Z<0.949) -P(Z<-0.949) =0.8287-0.1713=0.6574 [/tex]

Part b

Let X the random variable that represent the scores for Math of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(515,100)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=515[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=100[/tex]

We select a sample of size n=90, since the distribution for X is normal then the distribution for the sample size is also normal

[tex]\bar X \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{100}{\sqrt{90}}=10.54)[/tex]

And for this case we want this probability:

[tex] P(515-10 < \bar X < 515+10)[/tex]

And for this case we can use the z score given by:

[tex] z= \frac{\bar X -\mu}{\sigma_{\bar x}}[/tex]

And if we use this formula we got:

[tex] P(505<X<525) = P(\frac{505-515}{10.54} <Z<\frac{525-505}{10.54}) = P(-0.949 < Z< 1.898)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-0.949 < Z< 1.898)= P(Z<1.898) -P(Z<-0.949) =0.9712-0.1713=0.7998 [/tex]

Part c

Let X the random variable that represent the scores for Writing of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(494,100)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=494[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=100[/tex]

We select a sample of size n=100, since the distribution for X is normal then the distribution for the sample size is also normal

[tex]\bar X \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{100}{\sqrt{100}}=10)[/tex]

And for this case we want this probability:

[tex] P(494-10 < \bar X < 494+10)[/tex]

And for this case we can use the z score given by:

[tex] z= \frac{\bar X -\mu}{\sigma_{\bar x}}[/tex]

And if we use this formula we got:

[tex] P(484<X<504) = P(\frac{484-494}{10} <Z<\frac{504-494}{10}) = P(-1 < Z< 1)[/tex]

And we can use excel or the normal standard table to find this probability:

[tex] P(-1 < Z< 1)= P(Z<1) -P(Z<-1) =0.8413-0.1587=0.6827 [/tex]