For a sales​ promotion, the manufacturer places winning symbols under the caps of 27 % of all its soda bottles. If you buy a​ six-pack of​ soda, what is the probability that you win​ something?

Respuesta :

Answer:

84.87% probability that you win​ something

Step-by-step explanation:

For each bottle of soda, there are only two possible outcomes. Either there is a winning symbol, or there is not. For each bottle, the probability of having a winning symbol is independent from other bottles. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this problem.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

In which [tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

And p is the probability of X happening.

In this problem we have that:

[tex]n = 6, p = 0.27[/tex]

If you buy a​ six-pack of​ soda, what is the probability that you win​ something?

You will will something if at least one of the bottles has a prize.

We know that either no bottles have a prize, or at least one does. So

[tex]P(X = 0) + P(X \geq 1) = 1[/tex]

We want [tex]P(X \geq 1)[/tex]. So

[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)[/tex]

In which

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 0) = C_{6,0}.(0.27)^{0}.(0.73)^{6} = 0.1513[/tex]

[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - 0.1513 = 0.8487[/tex]

84.87% probability that you win​ something

Answer:

0.849

Step-by-step explanation:

P(winning something)

= 1 - P(winning nothing)

= 1 - (1-0.27)⁶

= 1 - 0.73⁶

= 0.8486657737