Two teams A and B play a series ofgames until one team wins four games. Assume that the outcomes of the gamesare independent and that the probability that A wins any one game isp. Whatis the probability that the series lasts five games?

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Since we assume the outcome of the games are independent and the probability that A wins any one game is p. We will have that:

The probability that:

Team A wins in 5 games = [tex]p^{4} (1p)[/tex]

Team B wins in 5 games = [tex]p(1p)^{4}[/tex]

Since there are 4 ways each team can win in 5 games, the probability that the series last 5 games is:

[tex]4[p^{4} (1p)+p(1p)^{4} ][/tex]

Thus, the answer is:

[tex]4[p^{4} (1p)+p(1p)^{4} ][/tex]