A sales completion team, aiming to reduce the shipment time of urgent orders, studies the current process and finds that the current shipment time has a mean of 4 days with a standard deviation of 1.5 days. Industry expectations are for urgent shipments to be delivered between 1 and 5 days.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]P(1<X<5)=P(\frac{1-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{5-\mu}{\sigma})=P(\frac{1-4}{1.5}<Z<\frac{5-4}{1.5})=P(-2<z<0.667)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with thi difference:

[tex]P(-2<z<0.667)=P(z<0.667)-P(z<-2)[/tex]

And in order to find these probabilities we can use tables for the normal standard distribution, excel or a calculator.  

[tex]P(-2<z<0.667)=P(z<0.667)-P(z<-2)=0.748-0.023=0.725[/tex]

So then we expect about 72.5% of the current shipment times between 1 and 5 days

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the current shipment time of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(4,1.5)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=4[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=1.5[/tex]

We are interested on this probability

[tex]P(1<X<5)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(1<X<5)=P(\frac{1-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{5-\mu}{\sigma})=P(\frac{1-4}{1.5}<Z<\frac{5-4}{1.5})=P(-2<z<0.667)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with thi difference:

[tex]P(-2<z<0.667)=P(z<0.667)-P(z<-2)[/tex]

And in order to find these probabilities we can use tables for the normal standard distribution, excel or a calculator.  

[tex]P(-2<z<0.667)=P(z<0.667)-P(z<-2)=0.748-0.023=0.725[/tex]

So then we expect about 72.5% of the current shipment times between 1 and 5 days