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Suppose I play baseball and I have two kinds of superstitions. When I have an amazing game, I try to wear the same socks for the next game. When I have terrible games, I throw away the hat I wore and buy a new one. Then I pay attention to whether I actually do better or worse in the next game. Is one of these rituals more likely to appear to work than the other?

Respuesta :

Answer:

d. Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean

Explanation:

  • the correct answer is Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean  
  • Because This regression suggests that I should do at least a little bit better after a good game and a little worse after a good game. So the rituals I do on terrible days are more effective.

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