You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population proportion. At this point in time, you have no reasonable estimate for the population proportion. You would like to be 90% confident that you esimate is within 2.5% of the true population proportion. How large of a sample size is required

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]n=\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{(\frac{0.025}{1.64})^2}=1075.84[/tex]  

And rounded up we have that n=1076

Step-by-step explanation:

Information given

[tex]ME= 0.025[/tex] represent the desired margin of error

Solution

In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that we are finding the interval for a proportion, so on this case we need to use the z distribution. Since our interval is at 90% of confidence, our significance level would be given by  and . And the critical value would be given by:

[tex]t_{\alpha/2}=-1.64, t_{1-\alpha/2}=1.64[/tex]

The margin of error for the proportion interval is given by this formula:  

[tex] ME=z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]    (a)  

We can assume that the best estimate for the true proportion is [tex]\hat p=0.5[/tex]. And on this case we have that [tex]ME =\pm 0.025[/tex] and we are interested in order to find the value of n, if we solve n from equation (a) we got:  

[tex]n=\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{(\frac{ME}{z})^2}[/tex]   (b)  

And replacing into equation (b) the values from part a we got:

[tex]n=\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{(\frac{0.025}{1.64})^2}=1075.84[/tex]  

And rounded up we have that n=1076