A basketball scout has developed a screening tool to identify future NBA all-stars. The screening tool is fairly reliable; 95% of all future NBA all-stars who are evaluated are identified as future NBA all-stars, and 95% of basketball players who are not future NBA all-stars and are evaluated are identified as not future NCAA all-stars. A basketball guru tells the scout that exactly one player of the 100 at a basketball camp is a future NBA all-star (and the scout believes the guru). The scout offers a recordbreaking contract on the spot to the first basketball player his screening tool identifies as a future NBA all-star. What is the probability this player truly is a future NBA all-star

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Answer:

The value is [tex]P(F) =0.0095[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

    The  probability that a player is  being identified as an NBA all-stars is 95% = 0.95

     The number of player in the camp is  n =  100

Generally the probability that a player becomes the first person to be evaluated is mathematically represented as

         [tex]p(1) = \frac{1}{n}[/tex]

=>      [tex]p(1) = \frac{1}{100}[/tex]

=>     [tex]p(1) = 0.01[/tex]

Generally the probability that the first basketball player his screening tool identifies as a future NBA all-star is truly a future NBA all-star

      [tex]P(F) = P(1) * 0.95[/tex]

=>    [tex]P(F) =0.01 * 0.95[/tex]

=>    [tex]P(F) =0.0095[/tex]

             

Answer:

P (F) = 0.0095

Step-by-step explanation: