For a certain breed of dog, suppose the offspring of a black dog is black with probability 0.6 and brown with probability 0.4. Also for this breed, suppose the offspring of a brown dog is black with probability 0.2 and brown with probability 0.8. If Rex is a brown dog of this breed, what is the probability that his grand-pup will be black?

Respuesta :

Answer:

0.28

Step-by-step explanation:

For a certain breed of dog,

OFFSPRING OF A BLACK DOG:

Is black = 0.6          Is brown = 0.4

OFFSPRING OF A BROWN DOG:

Is black = 0.2          Is brown = 0.8

If REX is a brown dog of this breed, what is the probability that his grand puppy will be black?

The probability that his grand pup will be black = Probability that his black pups produce black pups + the probability that his brown pups produce black pups.

The probability that his black pups produce black pups:

0.2 × 0.6 = 0.12

The probability that his brown pups produce black pups:

0.8 × 0.2 = 0.16

The probability that his grand pup will be black = 0.12 + 0.16 = 0.28