Yasmine learns that people who ride motorcycles are far more likely to die in highway accidents than members of the general population. This is actually true, and she learned it from a completely reliable source. But because of this, when she hears that someone has died in a highway accident, she tends to think it is probably someone on a motorcycle. What error of reasoning is she most obviously committing

Yasmine is basing her assumption on one piece of information she has. Instead of further investigating the accident, she jumps to conclusions and assumes a motorcycle was involved, when it very well could have been a car involved, rather than a motorcycle.

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PiaDeveau PiaDeveau · Answer 2 · 2022-03-20T07:34:54+01:00

Yes, Yasmine learns via survivor bias that motorcycle riders are considerably more likely than the overall population to die in highway accidents.

Survival bias:

The logical fallacy of focusing on the people or stuff that makes it past some sort of selection process and neglecting those who did not, usually due to their lack of visibility, is known as survival bias.

Survival bias is a cognitive mistake in which people or events are focused on those who made it through some stage of selection while disregarding others who didn't, generally owing to a lack of exposure. This can lead to a variety of false conclusions being drawn. It's a form of selection bias.

Find out more information about 'Bias'.

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