Suppose that only 2 percent of all people are geniuses. If an IQ test indicates that Albert is a genius, but the test is only accurate 90 percent of the time, then the probability that Albert really is a genius is roughly:

Respuesta :

Answer:

P = 1,8 %

Step-by-step explanation:

From the whole population, only 2% are geniuses. But test results,              are accurate 90 %. So the probability that Albert really is a genius is:

P = 0,02 * 0,9

P  = 0,018      or    P = 1,8 %